Where and when is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Warta Gorzów played?

Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Warta Gorzów is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Panatoni Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Panatoni Arena, Goczałkowice-Zdrój

Goczałkowice Zdrój

Warta Gorzów

The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Warta Gorzów?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,735) and Warta Gorzów (1,762).

Goczałkowice Zdrój win40 %

Draw27 %

Warta Gorzów win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Goczałkowice Zdrój
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Nysa(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Sparta Katowice(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3

Warta Gorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Górnik Polkowice(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Barycz Sułów(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Carina Gubin(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Warta Gorzów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Warta Gorzów 1-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3
Oct 4, 2025	Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-1 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Apr 18, 2025	Warta Gorzów 0-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 21, 2024	Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-0 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Mar 2, 2024	Goczałkowice Zdrój 3-2 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 12, 2023	Warta Gorzów 3-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Goczałkowice Zdrój	0.9	1.5	4	7/15	8/15
Warta Gorzów	0.9	1.4	6	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Warta Gorzów sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Warta Gorzów	5	2	2	1	6	8	8
14	Goczałkowice Zdrój	5	1	1	3	4	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Warta Gorzów?: The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Warta Gorzów.
Where and when is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Warta Gorzów played?: Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Warta Gorzów is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Panatoni Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.