Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Górnik, Polkowice
The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Polkowice have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Górnik Polkowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec 5-0 Górnik Polkowice | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Górnik Polkowice 2-4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Górnik Polkowice on Dec 3, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Polkowice | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Górnik Polkowice sit 9th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
- The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
- Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec played?
- Górnik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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