Stamford vs Needham Market: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Zeeco Stadium, Stamford, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Needham Market the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Stamford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stamford vs Needham Market?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Stamford (1,696) and Needham Market (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stamford have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Needham Market have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Stamford win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Needham Market win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Stamford 1-0 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Needham Market 4-1 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Needham Market 0-3 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Stamford 0-3 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Stamford vs Needham Market on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamford | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stamford sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (0 points from 3 matches) and Needham Market sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stamford vs Needham Market?
- The Footlab model makes Needham Market the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Stamford.
- Where and when is Stamford vs Needham Market played?
- Stamford vs Needham Market is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Zeeco Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 9, 2026Redditch UnitedvsPeterborough Sports
- Nov 10, 2026StourbridgevsAlvechurch
- Nov 10, 2026Bury TownvsBishop's Stortford
- Nov 10, 2026LeistonvsReal Bedford
- Nov 10, 2026Rushall OlympicvsHalesowen Town
- Nov 10, 2026Stratford TownvsBanbury United
- Nov 10, 2026LeamingtonvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Nov 10, 2026Anstey NomadsvsKettering Town