Match

Leighton Town vs Hitchin Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Freed Veneers Community Stadium, Leighton Buzzard, Bedfordshire

Leighton TownHitchin Town

The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hitchin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leighton Town vs Hitchin Town?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Leighton Town (1,845) and Hitchin Town (1,763).

Leighton Town win50 %
Draw26 %
Hitchin Town win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leighton Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Hitchin Town have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leighton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Worcester City(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Kettering Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Redditch United(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026London Lions(home)5-0Non League Div One - Southern Central
Hitchin Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Racing Club Warwick(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Redditch United(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Needham Market(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Rushall Olympic(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 11, 2026Luton(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Leighton Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hitchin Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 29, 2025Hitchin Town 5-0 Leighton TownNon League Div One - Southern Central
Oct 21, 2025Leighton Town 0-0 Hitchin TownNon League Div One - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leighton Town2.30.785/157/15
Hitchin Town1.21.365/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leighton Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (5 points from 3 matches) and Hitchin Town sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Leighton Town3120435
18Hitchin Town3012361

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leighton Town vs Hitchin Town?
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hitchin Town.
Where and when is Leighton Town vs Hitchin Town played?
Leighton Town vs Hitchin Town is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Freed Veneers Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leighton Town and Hitchin Town

Ready to know everything about football?