Leighton Town vs Hitchin Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Freed Veneers Community Stadium, Leighton Buzzard, Bedfordshire
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hitchin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leighton Town vs Hitchin Town?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Leighton Town (1,845) and Hitchin Town (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leighton Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Hitchin Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | London Lions(home) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Luton(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Leighton Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hitchin Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Hitchin Town 5-0 Leighton Town | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Leighton Town 0-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leighton Town | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Hitchin Town | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leighton Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (5 points from 3 matches) and Hitchin Town sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leighton Town vs Hitchin Town?
- The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hitchin Town.
- Where and when is Leighton Town vs Hitchin Town played?
- Leighton Town vs Hitchin Town is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Freed Veneers Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 9, 2026Redditch UnitedvsPeterborough Sports
- Nov 10, 2026StamfordvsNeedham Market
- Nov 10, 2026StourbridgevsAlvechurch
- Nov 10, 2026Bury TownvsBishop's Stortford
- Nov 10, 2026LeistonvsReal Bedford
- Nov 10, 2026Rushall OlympicvsHalesowen Town
- Nov 10, 2026Stratford TownvsBanbury United
- Nov 10, 2026LeamingtonvsBromsgrove Sporting