Stourbridge vs Alvechurch: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)War Memorial Athletic Ground, Stourbridge, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Stourbridge (1,756) and Alvechurch (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stourbridge have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Alvechurch have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stourbridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Alvechurch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Stourbridge 1-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Alvechurch 1-2 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Stourbridge 1-0 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Stourbridge 0-1 Alvechurch | FA Trophy |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Alvechurch 1-2 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Alvechurch 1-0 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Alvechurch on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stourbridge sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Alvechurch sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Stourbridge.
- Where and when is Stourbridge vs Alvechurch played?
- Stourbridge vs Alvechurch is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Athletic Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 9, 2026Redditch UnitedvsPeterborough Sports
- Nov 10, 2026StamfordvsNeedham Market
- Nov 10, 2026Bury TownvsBishop's Stortford
- Nov 10, 2026LeistonvsReal Bedford
- Nov 10, 2026Rushall OlympicvsHalesowen Town
- Nov 10, 2026Stratford TownvsBanbury United
- Nov 10, 2026LeamingtonvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Nov 10, 2026Anstey NomadsvsKettering Town