Match

Stourbridge vs Alvechurch: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)War Memorial Athletic Ground, Stourbridge, West Midlands

StourbridgeAlvechurch

The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Stourbridge (1,756) and Alvechurch (1,773).

Stourbridge win31 %
Draw26 %
Alvechurch win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stourbridge have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Alvechurch have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stourbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leiston(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stamford(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Halesowen Town(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Alvechurch
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bishop's Stortford(away)3-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Needham Market(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Worcester City(home)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Kettering Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stourbridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Alvechurch win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Stourbridge 1-1 AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central
Mar 3, 2026Alvechurch 1-2 StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central
Mar 29, 2025Stourbridge 1-0 AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 26, 2024Stourbridge 0-1 AlvechurchFA Trophy
Sep 28, 2024Alvechurch 1-2 StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central
Mar 16, 2024Alvechurch 1-0 StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Alvechurch on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stourbridge1.71.648/1510/15
Alvechurch1.40.949/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stourbridge sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Alvechurch sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Alvechurch3201526
5Stourbridge2200416

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Stourbridge.
Where and when is Stourbridge vs Alvechurch played?
Stourbridge vs Alvechurch is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Athletic Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stourbridge and Alvechurch

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