Leiston vs Real Bedford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab AI model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,859 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Real Bedford?
Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,818).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leiston vs Real Bedford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leiston
Not enough data to predict the Leiston lineup.
Real Bedford
Not enough data to predict the Real Bedford lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Real Bedford have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 3-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Leiston wins, 0 draws, 1 Real Bedford win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Real Bedford 3-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Real Bedford 0-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Leiston 1-0 Real Bedford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Real Bedford vs Leiston on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Bedford score 2.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Real Bedford | 2.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (12 points from 10 matches) and Real Bedford sit 1st (31 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 11 | 31 |
| 14 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Leiston vs Real Bedford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Real Bedford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Real Bedford played?
- Leiston vs Real Bedford is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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