Leiston vs Real Bedford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Real Bedford?
Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Real Bedford have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hertford Town(home) | 11-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Leiston win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real Bedford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Real Bedford 0-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Leiston 1-0 Real Bedford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Real Bedford vs Leiston on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Bedford | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Real Bedford sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Real Bedford?
- The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Real Bedford played?
- Leiston vs Real Bedford is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 9, 2026Redditch UnitedvsPeterborough Sports
- Nov 10, 2026StamfordvsNeedham Market
- Nov 10, 2026StourbridgevsAlvechurch
- Nov 10, 2026Bury TownvsBishop's Stortford
- Nov 10, 2026Rushall OlympicvsHalesowen Town
- Nov 10, 2026Stratford TownvsBanbury United
- Nov 10, 2026LeamingtonvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Nov 10, 2026Anstey NomadsvsKettering Town