Stamford vs Leamington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Zeeco Stadium, Stamford, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Stamford the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stamford vs Leamington?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Stamford (1,696) and Leamington (1,618).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stamford have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Stamford win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Leamington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Leamington 3-0 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Stamford 2-2 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 15, 2015 | Stamford 2-1 Leamington | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Leamington 1-1 Stamford | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Leamington vs Stamford on Apr 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamford | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stamford sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (0 points from 3 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stamford vs Leamington?
- The Footlab model makes Stamford the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Stamford vs Leamington played?
- Stamford vs Leamington is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Zeeco Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Hitchin TownvsAnstey Nomads
- Nov 21, 2026StourbridgevsRedditch United
- Nov 21, 2026Banbury UnitedvsAlvechurch
- Nov 21, 2026LeistonvsLeighton Town
- Nov 21, 2026Peterborough SportsvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Nov 21, 2026Rushall OlympicvsBishop's Stortford
- Nov 21, 2026Stratford TownvsHalesowen Town
- Nov 21, 2026Kettering TownvsNeedham Market