Where and when is Czarni Połaniec vs Star Starachowice played?

Czarni Połaniec vs Star Starachowice is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Czarni Połaniec vs Star Starachowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, Połaniec

Czarni Połaniec

Star Starachowice

The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Star Starachowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs Star Starachowice?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Czarni Połaniec (1,771) and Star Starachowice (1,762).

Czarni Połaniec win46 %

Draw25 %

Star Starachowice win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Czarni Połaniec have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Star Starachowice have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Czarni Połaniec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce II(away)	4-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Star Starachowice(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4

Star Starachowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026	KSZO 1929(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Czarni Połaniec win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Star Starachowice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Star Starachowice 2-0 Czarni Połaniec	III Liga - Group 4
May 16, 2026	Czarni Połaniec 2-1 Star Starachowice	III Liga - Group 4
Oct 31, 2025	Star Starachowice 3-2 Czarni Połaniec	III Liga - Group 4
Apr 26, 2025	Czarni Połaniec 0-2 Star Starachowice	III Liga - Group 4
Sep 28, 2024	Star Starachowice 4-1 Czarni Połaniec	III Liga - Group 4
Mar 16, 2024	Star Starachowice 4-0 Czarni Połaniec	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Czarni Połaniec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Czarni Połaniec	1.5	1.7	2	11/15	9/15
Star Starachowice	1.3	1.9	2	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Czarni Połaniec sit 5th in III Liga - Group 4 (9 points from 5 matches) and Star Starachowice sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Czarni Połaniec	5	3	0	2	8	8	9
15	Star Starachowice	5	1	2	2	5	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Czarni Połaniec vs Star Starachowice?: The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Star Starachowice.
Where and when is Czarni Połaniec vs Star Starachowice played?: Czarni Połaniec vs Star Starachowice is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.