Hetman Zamosc vs Korona Kielce II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, Zamość
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hetman Zamosc vs Korona Kielce II?
Korona Kielce II starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (1,772 vs 1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hetman Zamosc have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Korona Kielce II have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 4-5 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hetman Zamosc win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Korona Kielce II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Korona Kielce II 2-2 Hetman Zamosc | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 19, 2021 | Hetman Zamosc 1-0 Korona Kielce II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Korona Kielce II 1-1 Hetman Zamosc | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hetman Zamosc | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Korona Kielce II | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hetman Zamosc sit 10th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce II sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hetman Zamosc vs Korona Kielce II?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Hetman Zamosc.
- Where and when is Hetman Zamosc vs Korona Kielce II played?
- Hetman Zamosc vs Korona Kielce II is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027KSZO 1929vsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Mar 6, 2027Wisłoka DębicavsChełmianka Chełm
- Mar 6, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsStar Starachowice
- Mar 6, 2027JarosławvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Mar 6, 2027Wisła Kraków IIvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Mar 6, 2027NaprzódvsMoravia Morawica
- Mar 6, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Mar 6, 2027Busko-ZdrojvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska