Match

Hetman Zamosc vs Korona Kielce II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, Zamość

Hetman ZamoscKorona Kielce II

The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hetman Zamosc vs Korona Kielce II?

Korona Kielce II starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (1,772 vs 1,523).

Hetman Zamosc win36 %
Draw24 %
Korona Kielce II win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hetman Zamosc have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Korona Kielce II have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hetman Zamosc
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Korona Kielce II(away)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Star Starachowice(home)3-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 7, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Korona Kielce II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Czarni Połaniec(home)3-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Hetman Zamosc(home)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026KSZO 1929(away)2-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wisła Kraków II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Naprzód(away)4-5III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hetman Zamosc win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Korona Kielce II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Korona Kielce II 2-2 Hetman ZamoscIII Liga - Group 4
May 19, 2021Hetman Zamosc 1-0 Korona Kielce IIIII Liga - Group 4
Oct 17, 2020Korona Kielce II 1-1 Hetman ZamoscIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hetman Zamosc1.32.4210/1511/15
Korona Kielce II2.22.3213/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hetman Zamosc sit 10th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce II sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Hetman Zamosc5131756
17Korona Kielce II501412161

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hetman Zamosc vs Korona Kielce II?
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Hetman Zamosc.
Where and when is Hetman Zamosc vs Korona Kielce II played?
Hetman Zamosc vs Korona Kielce II is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hetman Zamosc and Korona Kielce II

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