Stockport County vs Reading: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Edgeley Park, Stockport, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Reading. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stockport County vs Reading?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Stockport County (1,924) and Reading (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockport County have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Reading have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 6-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Preston(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Luton(home) | 3-4 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Stockport County win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Reading win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Reading 1-0 Stockport County | League One |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Stockport County 1-1 Reading | League One |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Reading 1-3 Stockport County | League One |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Stockport County 4-1 Reading | League One |
Last archived meeting: Reading vs Stockport County on Jan 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stockport County score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Reading score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockport County | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Reading | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stockport County sit 9th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Reading sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stockport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stockport County vs Reading?
- The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Reading.
- Where and when is Stockport County vs Reading played?
- Stockport County vs Reading is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Edgeley Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.