Stoke City vs Derby: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 9, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
Full time
What was the result of Stoke City vs Derby?
Stoke City won 3-1 on August 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 60′C. MorrisDerby
- 70′L. BakerStoke City
- 90′D. MubamaStoke City
- 90′S. ThomasStoke City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Burnley(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Wolves(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Crewe(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Shrewsbury(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2025 | Derby(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Atromitos(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Walsall(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Matlock Town(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stoke City win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Derby 0-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Stoke City 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Derby 3-0 Stoke City | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 30, 2021 | Stoke City 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Derby 2-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Stoke City 1-0 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City sit 21st in Championship (0 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 21 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy