Stord vs Gneist: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stord Stadion, Leirvik
The Footlab AI model makes Stord the favourite at 65%, against 16% for a draw and 19% for Gneist. The most likely score is 3-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stord vs Gneist?
Stord starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,568 vs 1,445).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stord vs Gneist
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stord
Not enough data to predict the Stord lineup.
Gneist
Not enough data to predict the Gneist lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stord have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Gneist have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Varegg(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vard(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fyllingsdalen(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Djerv(home) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Askøy(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sogndal II(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Djerv(home) | 0-5 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Austevoll(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Varegg(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fyllingsdalen(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Stord win, 0 draws, 0 Gneist wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Gneist 3-4 Stord | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Stord score 1.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gneist score 1.3 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stord | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Gneist | 1.3 | 2.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stord sit 10th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (24 points from 23 matches) and Gneist sit 13th (18 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Stord | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 61 | 24 |
| 13 | Gneist | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 67 | 18 |
A question about Stord vs Gneist?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stord vs Gneist?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stord the favourite at 65%, against 16% for a draw and 19% for Gneist.
- Where and when is Stord vs Gneist played?
- Stord vs Gneist is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stord Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.