Førde vs Djerv: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Førde Stadion, Førde
The Footlab model makes Førde the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Djerv. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Førde vs Djerv?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Førde (1,685) and Djerv (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Førde have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Djerv have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Floro(away) | 4-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gneist(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brann II(home) | 7-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sogndal II(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Austevoll(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nord(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fyllingsdalen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vard(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Åsane II(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fana(away) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Førde win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Djerv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Djerv 3-2 Førde | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Djerv 1-1 Førde | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| May 11, 2024 | Førde 2-0 Djerv | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Førde score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Djerv score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Førde | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Djerv | 2.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Førde sit 4th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (26 points from 16 matches) and Djerv sit 3rd (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Djerv | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 21 | 29 |
| 4 | Førde | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Førde vs Djerv?
- The Footlab model makes Førde the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Djerv.
- Where and when is Førde vs Djerv played?
- Førde vs Djerv is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Førde Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.