Stourbridge vs Anstey Nomads: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)War Memorial Athletic Ground, Stourbridge, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stourbridge vs Anstey Nomads?
Anstey Nomads starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stourbridge have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Anstey Nomads have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wellingborough Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Stourbridge win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Anstey Nomads win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Anstey Nomads 3-2 Stourbridge | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Anstey Nomads vs Stourbridge on Oct 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Anstey Nomads score 2.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Anstey Nomads | 2.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stourbridge sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Anstey Nomads sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 15 | Anstey Nomads | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stourbridge vs Anstey Nomads?
- The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Stourbridge.
- Where and when is Stourbridge vs Anstey Nomads played?
- Stourbridge vs Anstey Nomads is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Athletic Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2026Redditch UnitedvsWorcester City
- Oct 20, 2026Hitchin TownvsStamford
- Oct 20, 2026AlvechurchvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Oct 20, 2026Banbury UnitedvsLeighton Town
- Oct 20, 2026Needham MarketvsBishop's Stortford
- Oct 20, 2026Rushall OlympicvsLeamington
- Oct 20, 2026Stratford TownvsPeterborough Sports
- Oct 20, 2026Kettering TownvsLeiston