Match

Banbury United vs Leighton Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Banbury Plant Hire Community Stadium, Banbury, Oxfordshire

Banbury UnitedLeighton Town

The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Banbury United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Banbury United vs Leighton Town?

Leighton Town starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,845 vs 1,743).

Banbury United win31 %
Draw26 %
Leighton Town win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Banbury United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Leighton Town have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Banbury United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rushall Olympic(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Real Bedford(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Racing Club Warwick(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Bishop's Stortford(away)0-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Quorn(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Leighton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Worcester City(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Kettering Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Redditch United(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026London Lions(home)5-0Non League Div One - Southern Central

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Banbury United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leighton Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2011Leighton Town 0-1 Banbury UnitedFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Leighton Town vs Banbury United on Oct 22, 2011

How many goals should we expect?

Banbury United score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Banbury United0.81.566/157/15
Leighton Town2.30.785/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Banbury United sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Leighton Town sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Leighton Town3120435
11Banbury United3111344

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Banbury United vs Leighton Town?
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Banbury United.
Where and when is Banbury United vs Leighton Town played?
Banbury United vs Leighton Town is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Banbury Plant Hire Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Banbury United and Leighton Town

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