Banbury United vs Leighton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Banbury Plant Hire Community Stadium, Banbury, Oxfordshire
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Banbury United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Banbury United vs Leighton Town?
Leighton Town starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,845 vs 1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Banbury United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Leighton Town have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | London Lions(home) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Banbury United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leighton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | Leighton Town 0-1 Banbury United | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Leighton Town vs Banbury United on Oct 22, 2011
How many goals should we expect?
Banbury United score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banbury United | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Leighton Town | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Banbury United sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Leighton Town sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 | Banbury United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Banbury United vs Leighton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Banbury United.
- Where and when is Banbury United vs Leighton Town played?
- Banbury United vs Leighton Town is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Banbury Plant Hire Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2026Redditch UnitedvsWorcester City
- Oct 20, 2026Hitchin TownvsStamford
- Oct 20, 2026StourbridgevsAnstey Nomads
- Oct 20, 2026AlvechurchvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Oct 20, 2026Needham MarketvsBishop's Stortford
- Oct 20, 2026Rushall OlympicvsLeamington
- Oct 20, 2026Stratford TownvsPeterborough Sports
- Oct 20, 2026Kettering TownvsLeiston