Match

Hitchin Town vs Stamford: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Top Field, Hitchin, Hertfordshire

Hitchin TownStamford

The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stamford. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hitchin Town vs Stamford?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Hitchin Town (1,763) and Stamford (1,696).

Hitchin Town win49 %
Draw25 %
Stamford win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hitchin Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Stamford have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hitchin Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Racing Club Warwick(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Redditch United(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Needham Market(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Rushall Olympic(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 11, 2026Luton(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Stamford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Worcester City(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Racing Club Warwick(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Bury Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stourbridge(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026Harborough Town(home)0-0Non League Premier - Southern Central

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Hitchin Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Stamford win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 21, 2024Hitchin Town 0-2 StamfordNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 13, 2024Stamford 2-0 Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 20, 2024Stamford 2-0 Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central
Nov 11, 2023Hitchin Town 1-2 StamfordNon League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 7, 2023Hitchin Town 2-3 StamfordFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Hitchin Town vs Stamford on Dec 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hitchin Town1.21.365/157/15
Stamford1.01.273/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hitchin Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Stamford sit 22nd (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
18Hitchin Town3012361
22Stamford3003150

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hitchin Town vs Stamford?
The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stamford.
Where and when is Hitchin Town vs Stamford played?
Hitchin Town vs Stamford is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Top Field, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hitchin Town and Stamford

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