Hitchin Town vs Stamford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Top Field, Hitchin, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stamford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hitchin Town vs Stamford?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Hitchin Town (1,763) and Stamford (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hitchin Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Stamford have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Luton(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Hitchin Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Stamford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | Hitchin Town 0-2 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Stamford 2-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Stamford 2-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Hitchin Town 1-2 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Hitchin Town 2-3 Stamford | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Hitchin Town vs Stamford on Dec 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hitchin Town | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Stamford | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hitchin Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Stamford sit 22nd (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hitchin Town vs Stamford?
- The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stamford.
- Where and when is Hitchin Town vs Stamford played?
- Hitchin Town vs Stamford is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Top Field, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2026Redditch UnitedvsWorcester City
- Oct 20, 2026StourbridgevsAnstey Nomads
- Oct 20, 2026AlvechurchvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Oct 20, 2026Banbury UnitedvsLeighton Town
- Oct 20, 2026Needham MarketvsBishop's Stortford
- Oct 20, 2026Rushall OlympicvsLeamington
- Oct 20, 2026Stratford TownvsPeterborough Sports
- Oct 20, 2026Kettering TownvsLeiston