Strasbourg vs Lorient: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
The Footlab AI model makes Strasbourg the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Lorient. The most likely score is 1-1. If Strasbourg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Lorient?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Strasbourg (2,026) and Lorient (2,015).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Strasbourg vs Lorient
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Strasbourg
4-3-3- 80Gessime Yassine
- 11S. Nanasi
- 7S. Amo-Ameyaw
- 23Diogo Sousa
- 21P. Diop
- 10G. Reyna
- 16G. Antwi
- 4J. Mitchell
- 36Oso
- 31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
- 1F. Jörgensen
Lorient
3-4-2-1- 42M. Kone
- 17J. Makengo
- 43K. Kouassi
- 8N. Cadiou
- 33G. Bernardeau
- 2A. Georgen
- 10I. Jensen
- 32N. Adjei
- 3M. Talbi
- 20D. Sylla
- 38Y. Mvogo
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strasbourg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lorient have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 6-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Strasbourg wins, 2 draws, 2 Lorient wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lorient 2-3 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Strasbourg 0-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Strasbourg 1-3 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Lorient 1-2 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Lorient 2-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Strasbourg 1-1 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lorient vs Strasbourg on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strasbourg score 1.7 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lorient score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Lorient | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strasbourg sit 11th in Ligue 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Lorient sit 8th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Strasbourg vs Lorient?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strasbourg vs Lorient?
- The Footlab AI model makes Strasbourg the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Lorient.
- Where and when is Strasbourg vs Lorient played?
- Strasbourg vs Lorient is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Meinau, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.