Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)GAZİ-Stadion auf der Waldau, Stuttgart
The Footlab model makes Stuttgarter Kickers the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Stuttgarter Kickers (1,970) and FSV Mainz 05 II (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stuttgarter Kickers have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Freiburg II(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC 08 Villingen(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Stuttgarter Kickers win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers 1-0 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 II 3-0 Stuttgarter Kickers | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 10, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 II 4-1 Stuttgarter Kickers | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Stuttgarter Kickers 1-0 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Dec 10, 2023 | FSV Mainz 05 II 1-4 Stuttgarter Kickers | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Stuttgarter Kickers 4-1 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stuttgarter Kickers score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgarter Kickers | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| FSV Mainz 05 II | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stuttgarter Kickers sit 3rd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
- The Footlab model makes Stuttgarter Kickers the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
- Where and when is Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?
- Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at GAZİ-Stadion auf der Waldau, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026VfR AalenvsEintracht Trier
- Sep 5, 2026FSV FrankfurtvsKickers Offenbach
- Sep 5, 2026SSV Ulm 1846vsSGV Freiberg
- Sep 5, 2026Freiburg IIvsTSV Steinbach
- Sep 5, 2026Hessen KasselvsSV Sandhausen
- Sep 5, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Sep 5, 2026VfR MannheimvsFC 08 Homburg
- Sep 5, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsFC Astoria Walldorf