VfR Mannheim vs FC 08 Homburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, Mannheim
The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for VfR Mannheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfR Mannheim vs FC 08 Homburg?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate VfR Mannheim (1,918) and FC 08 Homburg (2,005).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Mannheim have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; FC 08 Homburg have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reutlingen(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 VfR Mannheim win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC 08 Homburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | VfR Mannheim 4-5 FC 08 Homburg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FC 08 Homburg 5-0 VfR Mannheim | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: VfR Mannheim vs FC 08 Homburg on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC 08 Homburg score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfR Mannheim | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| FC 08 Homburg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfR Mannheim sit 14th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and FC 08 Homburg sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC 08 Homburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 14 | VfR Mannheim | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfR Mannheim vs FC 08 Homburg?
- The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for VfR Mannheim.
- Where and when is VfR Mannheim vs FC 08 Homburg played?
- VfR Mannheim vs FC 08 Homburg is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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