Freiburg II vs TSV Steinbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dreisamstadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 42%, against 20% for a draw and 38% for TSV Steinbach. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Freiburg II vs TSV Steinbach?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Freiburg II (1,912) and TSV Steinbach (1,960).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Freiburg II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; TSV Steinbach have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfR Aalen(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(home) | 2-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Freiburg II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 TSV Steinbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | TSV Steinbach 3-1 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Freiburg II 3-2 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 10, 2025 | TSV Steinbach 3-0 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Freiburg II 3-0 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Freiburg II 1-0 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 21, 2020 | TSV Steinbach 2-4 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: TSV Steinbach vs Freiburg II on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; TSV Steinbach score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg II | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| TSV Steinbach | 2.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Freiburg II sit 5th in Regionalliga - SudWest (5 points from 3 matches) and TSV Steinbach sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Freiburg II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | TSV Steinbach | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Freiburg II vs TSV Steinbach?
- The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 42%, against 20% for a draw and 38% for TSV Steinbach.
- Where and when is Freiburg II vs TSV Steinbach played?
- Freiburg II vs TSV Steinbach is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dreisamstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026VfR AalenvsEintracht Trier
- Sep 5, 2026FSV FrankfurtvsKickers Offenbach
- Sep 5, 2026SSV Ulm 1846vsSGV Freiberg
- Sep 5, 2026Hessen KasselvsSV Sandhausen
- Sep 5, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Sep 5, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Sep 5, 2026VfR MannheimvsFC 08 Homburg
- Sep 5, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsFC Astoria Walldorf