Sudtirol vs Hellas Verona: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marco Druso, Bozen
The Footlab model makes Sudtirol the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Hellas Verona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Hellas Verona?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Sudtirol (1,800) and Hellas Verona (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sudtirol have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Hellas Verona have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Bari(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sudtirol win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hellas Verona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2025 | Sudtirol 2-2 Hellas Verona | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sudtirol vs Hellas Verona on Aug 3, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sudtirol score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hellas Verona score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 0.7 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Hellas Verona | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sudtirol sit 7th in Serie B (3 points from 1 matches) and Hellas Verona sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sudtirol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Hellas Verona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sudtirol vs Hellas Verona?
- The Footlab model makes Sudtirol the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Hellas Verona.
- Where and when is Sudtirol vs Hellas Verona played?
- Sudtirol vs Hellas Verona is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marco Druso, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.