Pisa vs Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
The Footlab model makes Ascoli the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Pisa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pisa vs Ascoli?
Ascoli starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,968 vs 1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pisa have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Ascoli have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Padova(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Juventus U23(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Potenza(home) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pisa win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ascoli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | Ascoli 2-1 Pisa | Serie B |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Pisa 1-0 Ascoli | Serie B |
| May 1, 2023 | Ascoli 2-1 Pisa | Serie B |
| Dec 8, 2022 | Pisa 2-0 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Mar 16, 2022 | Ascoli 2-0 Pisa | Serie B |
| Nov 1, 2021 | Pisa 1-1 Ascoli | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pisa score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pisa | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pisa sit 17th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Ascoli sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ascoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Pisa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pisa vs Ascoli?
- The Footlab model makes Ascoli the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Pisa.
- Where and when is Pisa vs Ascoli played?
- Pisa vs Ascoli is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.