Juve Stabia vs Padova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia
The Footlab model makes Juve Stabia the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Padova. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juve Stabia vs Padova?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Juve Stabia (1,855) and Padova (1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juve Stabia have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Padova have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Cavese(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ischia(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 19, 2026 | Monza(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Monza(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Juve Stabia win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Padova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Juve Stabia 3-3 Padova | Serie B |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Padova 2-2 Juve Stabia | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Juve Stabia score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Padova score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Padova | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juve Stabia sit 20th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Padova sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Padova | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juve Stabia vs Padova?
- The Footlab model makes Juve Stabia the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Padova.
- Where and when is Juve Stabia vs Padova played?
- Juve Stabia vs Padova is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.