Juve Stabia vs Padova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia
The Footlab AI model makes Juve Stabia the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Padova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Juve Stabia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juve Stabia vs Padova?
On Elo ratings, Juve Stabia has 1,847 points and Padova 1,810.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Juve Stabia vs Padova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Juve Stabia
4-3-3- 9Antonio Di Nardo
- 37F. Maistro
- 33G. Sibilli
- 8D. Buglio
- 10C. Pierobon
- 24J. Kumi
- 6M. Bellich
- 96T. Maggioni
- 25T. Douglas
- 87D. Bettella
- 23P. Boer
Padova
3-5-2- 9L. Moro
- 20M. Bortolussi
- 21E. Zuelli
- 8P. Fusi
- 34M. Cocchi
- 17A. Capelli
- 10G. Caprari
- 27Alessandro Dellavalle
- 5M. Lovato
- 58C. Pastina
- 22A. Sorrentino
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juve Stabia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Padova have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Juve Stabia wins, 2 draws, 0 Padova wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Juve Stabia 3-3 Padova | Serie B |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Padova 2-2 Juve Stabia | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Juve Stabia score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Padova score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Padova | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juve Stabia sit 20th in Serie B (2 points from 6 matches) and Padova sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 20 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
A question about Juve Stabia vs Padova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juve Stabia vs Padova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Juve Stabia the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Padova.
- Where and when is Juve Stabia vs Padova played?
- Juve Stabia vs Padova is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.