Sunderland vs Tottenham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Tottenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sunderland wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunderland vs Tottenham?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Sunderland (2,145) and Tottenham (2,168).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sunderland vs Tottenham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 18W. Isidor
- 34G. Xhaka
- 28E. Le Fée
- 27N. Sadiki
- 10N. Angulo
- 12T. Meunier
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 17Reinildo
- 32T. Hume
- 22R. Roefs
Tottenham
4-2-3-1- 19D. Solanke
- 16S. Tonali
- 17Sávio
- 8C. Gallagher
- 15L. Bergvall
- 20M. Kudus
- 6J. van Hecke
- 14A. Gray
- 13D. Udogie
- 5M. Senesi
- 31A. Kinský
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunderland have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Tottenham have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Everton(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sunderland win, 2 draws, 3 Tottenham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sunderland 1-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Tottenham 1-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2017 | Sunderland 0-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Tottenham 1-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Jan 16, 2016 | Tottenham 4-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2015 | Sunderland 0-1 Tottenham | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sunderland vs Tottenham on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sunderland score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tottenham score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Tottenham | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunderland sit 17th in Premier League (4 points from 6 matches) and Tottenham sit 19th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Sunderland vs Tottenham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Tottenham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Tottenham.
- Where and when is Sunderland vs Tottenham played?
- Sunderland vs Tottenham is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium of Light, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.