Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Nottingham Forest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelsea wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Nottingham Forest (2,193) and Chelsea (2,289).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1- 19L. Delap
- 3N. Williams
- 14D. Ndoye
- 21X. Schlager
- 24J. McAtee
- 27D. Muñoz
- 10M. Gibbs-White
- 5Murillo
- 2O. Diomande
- 23Jair
- 26M. Sels
Chelsea
4-2-3-1- 9João Pedro
- 17M. Rogers
- 10C. Palmer
- 7Pedro Neto
- 14J. Henderson
- 25M. Caicedo
- 6L. Colwill
- 5M. Lacroix
- 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
- 21J. Hato
- 1E. Martínez
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Chelsea have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Everton(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 6-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nottingham Forest wins, 1 draw, 3 Chelsea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Chelsea 1-3 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 0-3 Chelsea | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Chelsea 1-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| May 11, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 2-3 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Chelsea 0-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea score 2.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Chelsea | 2.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nottingham Forest sit 19th in Premier League (5 points from 7 matches) and Chelsea sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 13 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Nottingham Forest.
- Where and when is Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea played?
- Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The City Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.