Super Nova vs Tukums: result 3-2 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 19, 2019 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Slokas Stadiona
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What was the result of Super Nova vs Tukums?
Super Nova won 3-2 on October 19, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Super Nova have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Tukums have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2019 | Auda(home) | 5-0 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Dinamo Rīga / Staicele(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Smiltene(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 7-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 14, 2019 | New Project(home) | 7-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | Dinamo Rīga / Staicele(home) | 5-0 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Smiltene(away) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 5-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 21, 2019 | New Project(away) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Balvu(home) | 13-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Super Nova win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tukums win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2019 | Tukums 2-1 Super Nova | 1. Liga |
| May 11, 2019 | Super Nova 0-1 Tukums | 1. Liga |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Super Nova 3-0 Tukums | 1. Liga |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Tukums 0-1 Super Nova | 1. Liga |
| May 5, 2018 | Super Nova 1-0 Tukums | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Super Nova score 4.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tukums score 4.3 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova | 4.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
| Tukums | 4.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy