Sutton Utd vs Tamworth: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tamworth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sutton Utd wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Tamworth?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Sutton Utd (1,759) and Tamworth (1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sutton Utd vs Tamworth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sutton Utd
4-3-3- 9T. Babalola
- 16B. Njoku
- 18D. Ogbonna
- 8J. Taylor
- 7E. Osadebe
- 14O. Mussa
- 5W. Nightingale
- 27B. Brookes
- 15J. Moore-Taylor
- 12D. Urpens
- 1S. Brits
Tamworth
4-3-3- 10K. Donnelly
- 23J. Hutchinson
- 9D. Creaney
- 16R. Calder
- 19T. McGlinchey
- 4T. Kurtaran
- 12J. Rye
- 14O. Dyson
- 5T. Parkes
- 3T. Handley
- 39R. Lovett
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tamworth have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 3-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 1-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-5 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sutton Utd wins, 1 draw, 3 Tamworth wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tamworth 2-0 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tamworth 0-1 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sutton Utd 2-3 Tamworth | National League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Sutton Utd 1-0 Tamworth | FA Trophy |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Sutton Utd 1-2 Tamworth | National League |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Tamworth 1-1 Sutton Utd | National League |
Last archived meeting: Tamworth vs Sutton Utd on Sep 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tamworth score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Tamworth | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutton Utd sit 13th in National League (18 points from 13 matches) and Tamworth sit 18th (14 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 30 | 14 |
A question about Sutton Utd vs Tamworth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs Tamworth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tamworth.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Tamworth played?
- Sutton Utd vs Tamworth is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.