Sutton Utd vs Tamworth: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Tamworth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Tamworth?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Sutton Utd (1,774) and Tamworth (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Tamworth have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leicester City U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Woking(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 5-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 3-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Sutton Utd win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tamworth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tamworth 0-1 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sutton Utd 2-3 Tamworth | National League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Sutton Utd 1-0 Tamworth | FA Trophy |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Sutton Utd 1-2 Tamworth | National League |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Tamworth 1-1 Sutton Utd | National League |
Last archived meeting: Tamworth vs Sutton Utd on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tamworth score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Tamworth | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutton Utd sit 2nd in National League (9 points from 3 matches) and Tamworth sit 22nd (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs Tamworth?
- The Footlab model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Tamworth.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Tamworth played?
- Sutton Utd vs Tamworth is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.