Scunthorpe vs Barrow: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
The Footlab AI model makes Scunthorpe the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Barrow. The most likely score is 1-1. If Scunthorpe wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scunthorpe vs Barrow?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Scunthorpe (1,831) and Barrow (1,759).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Scunthorpe vs Barrow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Scunthorpe
4-3-3- 18K. Hurst
- 14P. Jones
- 9J. Norwood
- 23J. Butterfield
- 17D. Batty
- 11J. Rowley
- 21J. Starbuck
- 44R. Barrows
- 33T. Denton
- 5W. Evans
- 25M. Campbell
Barrow
4-3-3- 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
- 9A. Reid
- 19A. Allen
- 26R. Harper
- 5C. Edwards
- 27I. Marriott
- 25P. Kalambayi
- 2M. Oakley
- 36T. Latty-Fairweather
- 6K. Digie
- 1B. Winterbottom
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scunthorpe have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Barrow have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Derby County U21(home) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southend(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Scunthorpe win, 1 draw, 4 Barrow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Barrow 3-0 Scunthorpe | National League |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Scunthorpe 0-1 Barrow | League Two |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Barrow 1-1 Scunthorpe | League Two |
| Aug 10, 2021 | Barrow 1-0 Scunthorpe | League Cup |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Barrow 1-0 Scunthorpe | League Two |
| Dec 15, 2020 | Scunthorpe 2-1 Barrow | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Scunthorpe score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Barrow score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Barrow | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scunthorpe sit 22nd in National League (10 points from 12 matches) and Barrow sit 8th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 10 |
A question about Scunthorpe vs Barrow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scunthorpe vs Barrow?
- The Footlab AI model makes Scunthorpe the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Barrow.
- Where and when is Scunthorpe vs Barrow played?
- Scunthorpe vs Barrow is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Attis Arena, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.