Carlisle vs AFC Fylde: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for AFC Fylde. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carlisle wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carlisle vs AFC Fylde?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Carlisle (1,947) and AFC Fylde (1,971).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carlisle vs AFC Fylde
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carlisle
4-3-3- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 9G. Kelly
- 6M. Azeez
- 4H. Bunker
- 30T. Jenks
- 15B. Nicholson
- 17L. Duru
- 5M. Feeney
- 18J. Ellis
- 1A. Desbois
AFC Fylde
4-3-3- 8T. Whelan
- 7Luca Thomas
- 19C. Main
- 6C. Merrie
- 10D. Mayor
- 14G. Olley
- 17C. Whelan
- 29A. Drewe
- 15W. Lancaster
- 3H. Broad
- 1Z. Jones
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Fylde have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-5 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Southend(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Carlisle wins, 0 draws, 0 AFC Fylde wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Fylde 0-2 Carlisle | National League |
| Jul 19, 2025 | AFC Fylde 0-2 Carlisle | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: AFC Fylde vs Carlisle on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Fylde score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| AFC Fylde | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carlisle sit 14th in National League (17 points from 13 matches) and AFC Fylde sit 7th (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 23 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
A question about Carlisle vs AFC Fylde?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carlisle vs AFC Fylde?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for AFC Fylde.
- Where and when is Carlisle vs AFC Fylde played?
- Carlisle vs AFC Fylde is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Brunton Park, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.