Harrogate Town vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)EnviroVent Stadium, Harrogate, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Harrogate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Hartlepool?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Harrogate Town (1,706) and Hartlepool (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harrogate Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Hartlepool have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 5-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 0-10 | National League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Harrogate Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hartlepool win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2023 | Hartlepool 1-2 Harrogate Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 1, 2023 | Hartlepool 3-3 Harrogate Town | League Two |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Hartlepool 3-1 Harrogate Town | FA Cup |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Harrogate Town 2-1 Hartlepool | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Hartlepool 2-0 Harrogate Town | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Harrogate Town 1-2 Hartlepool | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town on Jul 28, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Harrogate Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hartlepool | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harrogate Town sit 3rd in National League (7 points from 3 matches) and Hartlepool sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harrogate Town vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Harrogate Town.
- Where and when is Harrogate Town vs Hartlepool played?
- Harrogate Town vs Hartlepool is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at EnviroVent Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.