Harrogate Town vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)EnviroVent Stadium, Harrogate, North Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Harrogate Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Hartlepool. The most likely score is 1-1. If Harrogate Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Hartlepool?
On Elo ratings, Harrogate Town has 1,840 points and Hartlepool 1,748.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Harrogate Town vs Hartlepool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Harrogate Town
4-3-3- 23B. Dolaghan
- 9S. McCoulsky
- 18J. Muldoon
- 3E. Bristow
- 14M. Williams
- 11W. McGowan
- 24L. Cass
- 4A. Baptiste
- 16S. Dreyer
- 26G. Horton
- 34L. Hutchinson
Hartlepool
4-3-3- 19C. Popov
- 10W. Harris
- 9J. Hugill
- 42Cole Deeming
- 4J. Hunter
- 14N. Sheron
- 6R. McNally
- 12Neo Eccleston
- 3C. John
- 2J. Benn
- 32N. Fisher
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harrogate Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Hartlepool have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Woking(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-4 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Harrogate Town wins, 1 draw, 2 Hartlepool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Hartlepool 0-1 Harrogate Town | National League |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Hartlepool 1-2 Harrogate Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 1, 2023 | Hartlepool 3-3 Harrogate Town | League Two |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Hartlepool 3-1 Harrogate Town | FA Cup |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Harrogate Town 2-1 Hartlepool | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Hartlepool 2-0 Harrogate Town | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Harrogate Town score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 0.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate Town | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Hartlepool | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harrogate Town sit 2nd in National League (28 points from 13 matches) and Hartlepool sit 20th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 28 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Harrogate Town vs Hartlepool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harrogate Town vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Harrogate Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Hartlepool.
- Where and when is Harrogate Town vs Hartlepool played?
- Harrogate Town vs Hartlepool is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at EnviroVent Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.