Stoke City vs West Ham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Stoke City. The most likely score is 1-1. If West Ham wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,797 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stoke City vs West Ham?
West Ham starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (2,156 vs 1,900).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stoke City vs West Ham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 17E. Bocat
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 18B. Lawal
- 1V. Johansson
West Ham
4-2-3-1- 19Pablo
- 7A. Engels
- 20J. Bowen
- 10M. Solomon
- 14D. Mukasa
- 17M. Kanté
- 3M. Kilman
- 15K. Mavropanos
- 5Morato
- 34J. Veltman
- 1M. Hermansen
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; West Ham have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stoke City win, 4 draws, 1 West Ham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2018 | West Ham 1-1 Stoke City | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Stoke City 0-3 West Ham | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2017 | Stoke City 0-0 West Ham | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2016 | West Ham 1-1 Stoke City | Premier League |
| May 15, 2016 | Stoke City 2-1 West Ham | Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2015 | West Ham 0-0 Stoke City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: West Ham vs Stoke City on Apr 16, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; West Ham score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| West Ham | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City sit 6th in Championship (19 points from 11 matches) and West Ham sit 2nd (22 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
A question about Stoke City vs West Ham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs West Ham?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Stoke City.
- Where and when is Stoke City vs West Ham played?
- Stoke City vs West Ham is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.