Swindon Town vs Birmingham: result 1-2 and analysis
EFL Trophy3rd RoundKick-off on January 14, 2025 at 07:30 PM (UTC)The Nigel Eady County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
Full time
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Birmingham?
Birmingham won 1-2 on January 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 49′A. YokoyamaBirmingham
- 76′H. SmithSwindon Town
- 89′H. SmithBirmingham (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Birmingham have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Notts County(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Colchester(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2024 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Lincoln(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Wigan(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Stockport County(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Blackpool(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Burton Albion(home) | 2-0 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Swindon Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.7 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swindon Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy