Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab AI model makes Sydney the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sydney wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners?
Sydney starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,890 vs 1,738).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sydney
4-2-3-1- 90O. Sunday
- 20T. Quintal
- 14T. Sekine
- 29J. Lacey
- 7A. Akon
- 15J. Hollman
- 23R. Grant
- 17B. Garuccio
- 4J. Courtney-Perkins
- 41A. Popovic
- 1G. Hoefsloot
Central Coast Mariners
4-2-3-1- 22A. De Lima
- 72A. Auglah
- 9O. Lavale
- 8C. Donnell
- 37B. Brandtman
- 41Shumba Mutokoyi
- 5L. Mauragis
- 15S. Roux
- 12Noah McCann
- 26B. Tapp
- 30A. Redmayne
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sydney have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Central Coast Mariners have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 18, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 4-2 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Bayswater City(away) | 5-1 | Australia Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sydney wins, 1 draw, 2 Central Coast Mariners wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 1-2 Sydney | A-League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sydney 2-0 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Sydney 4-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Sydney | A-League |
| May 18, 2024 | Central Coast Mariners 0-0 Sydney | A-League |
| May 10, 2024 | Sydney 1-2 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sydney score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Central Coast Mariners score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sydney sit 5th in A-League (39 points from 26 matches) and Central Coast Mariners sit 9th (32 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 25 | 39 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 32 |
A question about Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sydney the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Central Coast Mariners.
- Where and when is Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners played?
- Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners is played on November 6, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at Allianz Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.