Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab model makes Sydney the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners?
Sydney starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sydney have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Central Coast Mariners have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 4-2 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Bayswater City(away) | 5-1 | Australia Cup |
| May 23, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 0-1 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Melbourne City(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sydney win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Central Coast Mariners win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 1-2 Sydney | A-League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sydney 2-0 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Sydney 4-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Sydney | A-League |
| May 18, 2024 | Central Coast Mariners 0-0 Sydney | A-League |
| May 10, 2024 | Sydney 1-2 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sydney score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Central Coast Mariners score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sydney sit 5th in A-League (39 points from 26 matches) and Central Coast Mariners sit 9th (32 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 25 | 39 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners?
- The Footlab model makes Sydney the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Central Coast Mariners.
- Where and when is Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners played?
- Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners is played on November 6, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at Allianz Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.