Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Campbelltown Sports Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab AI model makes Macarthur the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Brisbane Roar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Macarthur wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?
Macarthur starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Macarthur
4-2-3-1- 9B. Gibson
- 17O. Randazzo
- 22L. Rose
- 35A. El-Sabeh
- 8L. Vickery
- 23K. Grozos
- 25C. Talbot
- 21N. Paull
- 33H. Menham
- 5J. Aspropotamitis
- 1A. Robinson
Brisbane Roar
4-1-4-1- 17J. Vidic
- 6N. Maieroni
- 44J. Lauton
- 77M. Stajic
- 2Jacob Nasso
- 10Nam Tae-Hee
- 3D. Valkanis
- 15H. Bility
- 53A. Mitchell
- 2Y. Salas
- 1D. Bouzanis
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macarthur have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Brisbane Roar have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Uni Azzurri(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(home) | 4-0 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 2-3 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Macarthur wins, 1 draw, 1 Brisbane Roar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Macarthur 2-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 1-0 Macarthur | A-League |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 1-5 Macarthur | A-League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Macarthur 4-4 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 1-2 Macarthur | A-League |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 1-3 Macarthur | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Macarthur score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Brisbane Roar score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macarthur | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Brisbane Roar | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macarthur sit 7th in A-League (34 points from 26 matches) and Brisbane Roar sit 11th (26 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 44 | 34 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 36 | 26 |
A question about Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Macarthur the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Brisbane Roar.
- Where and when is Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar played?
- Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Campbelltown Sports Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.