Tabora United vs Coastal Union: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, Tabora
The Footlab AI model makes Tabora United the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Coastal Union. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tabora United wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tabora United vs Coastal Union?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Tabora United (1,635) and Coastal Union (1,619).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tabora United vs Coastal Union
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tabora United
4-3-3- 26Ayoub Lyanga
- 33Winga Belebo
- 7Kassim Shaibu
- 6S. Hoza
- 55Tobias Otieno
- 17G. Gwalala
- 5N. Kombo
- 4Shariff Majabe
- 22J. Lazarus
- 60E. Manyama
- 18D. Mgore
Coastal Union
4-3-3- 25S. Kichuya
- 36M. Andrea
- 9M. M. Maabad
- 16G. Manyasi
- 13K. Gradi
- 34S. Mwanza
- 26R. Aidan
- 4A. Laurent
- 24S. Chuku
- 5A. A. Msangi
- 18C. Ramadhani
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tabora United have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Coastal Union have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 3-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tabora United win, 5 draws, 0 Coastal Union wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Coastal Union 1-1 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Tabora United 1-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Coastal Union 1-1 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Coastal Union 1-1 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Tabora United 1-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Tabora United 1-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Coastal Union vs Tabora United on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tabora United score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Coastal Union score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabora United | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Coastal Union | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tabora United sit 11th in Ligi kuu Bara (11 points from 10 matches) and Coastal Union sit 10th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coastal Union | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | Tabora United | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Tabora United vs Coastal Union?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tabora United vs Coastal Union?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tabora United the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Coastal Union.
- Where and when is Tabora United vs Coastal Union played?
- Tabora United vs Coastal Union is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.