Young Africans vs Fountain Gate: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 91%, against 7% for a draw and 2% for Fountain Gate. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Young Africans vs Fountain Gate?
Young Africans is a heavy favourite: 1,973 Elo points against 1,483 — a 490-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Young Africans have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Fountain Gate have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 4-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 4-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Young Africans win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fountain Gate win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Fountain Gate 0-2 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Young Africans 2-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Fountain Gate 0-4 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Young Africans 5-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Fountain Gate 0-3 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Young Africans 2-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Young Africans on Jun 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Young Africans score 2.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fountain Gate score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Africans | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Fountain Gate | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Young Africans sit 1st in Ligi kuu Bara (9 points from 3 matches) and Fountain Gate sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Fountain Gate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Young Africans vs Fountain Gate?
- The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 91%, against 7% for a draw and 2% for Fountain Gate.
- Where and when is Young Africans vs Fountain Gate played?
- Young Africans vs Fountain Gate is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.