Young Africans vs Fountain Gate: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
The Footlab AI model makes Young Africans the favourite at 90%, against 8% for a draw and 2% for Fountain Gate. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Young Africans vs Fountain Gate?
Young Africans is a heavy favourite: 2,027 Elo points against 1,506, a 521-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Young Africans vs Fountain Gate
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Young Africans
4-3-3- 7M. Nzengeli
- 13P. Shalulile
- 11H. Zakouani
- 36I. Kazimoto
- 22A. Kangwanda
- 27M. Yahya
- 4I. Bacca
- 23C. Boka
- 5D. Job
- 33O. Comara
- 39D. Diarra
Fountain Gate
4-3-3- 22S. Said
- 78A. Athuman
- 53Hashimu Kindemile
- 9C. Obasi
- 60S. Mgunda
- 33P. Shaban
- 15D. Mukombozi
- 6O. Awara
- 19A. Mtambi
- 33S. Hassan
- 28M. Kilusomo
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Young Africans have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Fountain Gate have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 21, 2026 | CFFA(home) | 4-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | CFFA(away) | 4-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 2-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Young Africans wins, 0 draws, 0 Fountain Gate wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Fountain Gate 0-2 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Fountain Gate 0-2 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Young Africans 2-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Fountain Gate 0-4 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Young Africans 5-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Fountain Gate 0-3 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Young Africans on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Young Africans score 2.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fountain Gate score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Africans | 2.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Fountain Gate | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Young Africans sit 2nd in Ligi kuu Bara (25 points from 10 matches) and Fountain Gate sit 15th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Young Africans | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 25 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
A question about Young Africans vs Fountain Gate?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Young Africans vs Fountain Gate?
- The Footlab AI model makes Young Africans the favourite at 90%, against 8% for a draw and 2% for Fountain Gate.
- Where and when is Young Africans vs Fountain Gate played?
- Young Africans vs Fountain Gate is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.