Mashujaa vs Mbeya City: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
The Footlab AI model makes Mashujaa the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Mbeya City. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mashujaa vs Mbeya City?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Mashujaa (1,576) and Mbeya City (1,526).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mashujaa vs Mbeya City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mashujaa
4-3-3- 45Michael Joseph
- 7C. Mhagama
- 51M. Vuai
- 27S. Madeleke
- 6B. Mtuwi
- 23T. Simba
- 3H. Lyawatwa
- 20M. Mwakinyuke
- 19S. Mgandila
- 4S. Onditi
- 43M. Malik
Mbeya City
4-3-3- 10E. Ambokile
- 49O. Mwajanga
- 22V. Mayanga
- 21J. Mwanuke
- 20H. Haji
- 32O. Abdallah
- 26A. Buha
- 14Nassor Mbarouk
- 5Y. Seleman Mbegu
- 4K. Pillar
- 31T. Reuben
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mashujaa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Mbeya City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mashujaa win, 1 draw, 1 Mbeya City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mbeya City 2-1 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Mbeya City 0-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Mashujaa 1-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Mbeya City vs Mashujaa on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mashujaa score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mbeya City score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashujaa | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Mbeya City | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mashujaa sit 4th in Ligi kuu Bara (12 points from 8 matches) and Mbeya City sit 8th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Mashujaa vs Mbeya City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mashujaa vs Mbeya City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mashujaa the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Mbeya City.
- Where and when is Mashujaa vs Mbeya City played?
- Mashujaa vs Mbeya City is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lake Tanganyika Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.