Tadamon Sour vs Al Ahed: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Al Ansar Stadium, Bayrūt (Beirut)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahed the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Tadamon Sour. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Ahed wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tadamon Sour vs Al Ahed?
Al Ahed starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,521 vs 1,275).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tadamon Sour vs Al Ahed
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tadamon Sour
Not enough data to predict the Tadamon Sour lineup.
Al Ahed
Not enough data to predict the Al Ahed lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tadamon Sour have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Al Ahed have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Shabab Al Sahel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Reyady Abaseya(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Racing(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Reyady Abaseya(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Mabarrah(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Tripoli SC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Al Ansar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tadamon Sour win, 1 draw, 4 Al Ahed wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Al Ahed 0-0 Tadamon Sour | Premier League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Al Ahed 3-1 Tadamon Sour | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Tadamon Sour 0-2 Al Ahed | Premier League |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Al Ahed 5-3 Tadamon Sour | Premier League |
| May 24, 2025 | Al Ahed 3-0 Tadamon Sour | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Tadamon Sour 1-0 Al Ahed | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tadamon Sour score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahed score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tadamon Sour | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Ahed | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tadamon Sour sit 5th in Premier League (4 points from 2 matches) and Al Ahed sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tadamon Sour | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Al Ahed | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
A question about Tadamon Sour vs Al Ahed?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tadamon Sour vs Al Ahed?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahed the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Tadamon Sour.
- Where and when is Tadamon Sour vs Al Ahed played?
- Tadamon Sour vs Al Ahed is played on November 27, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at Al Ansar Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.