Tamworth vs Southend: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Lamb Ground, Tamworth, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Tamworth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southend wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tamworth vs Southend?
Southend starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,964 vs 1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tamworth vs Southend
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tamworth
4-3-3- 10K. Donnelly
- 23J. Hutchinson
- 9D. Creaney
- 16R. Calder
- 19T. McGlinchey
- 4T. Kurtaran
- 12J. Rye
- 14O. Dyson
- 5T. Parkes
- 3T. Handley
- 39R. Lovett
Southend
4-3-3- 9H. Cardwell
- 14P. Omochere
- 27R. Colclough
- 19L. Chambers-Parillon
- 8D. Oldaker
- 4A. Hartigan
- 2V. Campbell
- 3Kyle James McAdam
- 6B. Goodliffe
- 20D. Cox
- 1J. Duncan
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tamworth have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Southend have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 1-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-5 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 6-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Tamworth win, 1 draw, 3 Southend wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Southend 3-1 Tamworth | National League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Tamworth 2-1 Southend | National League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Southend 2-0 Tamworth | National League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Tamworth 1-1 Southend | National League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Southend 2-0 Tamworth | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tamworth score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamworth | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Southend | 2.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tamworth sit 18th in National League (14 points from 13 matches) and Southend sit 3rd (27 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 30 | 14 |
A question about Tamworth vs Southend?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tamworth vs Southend?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Tamworth.
- Where and when is Tamworth vs Southend played?
- Tamworth vs Southend is played on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Lamb Ground, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.