Tartu Kalev vs Luunja: result 1-4 and analysis
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 9Kick-off on May 4, 2024 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Annelinna Gümnaasium staadion, Tartu
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What was the result of Tartu Kalev vs Luunja?
Luunja won 1-4 on May 4, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tartu Kalev have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Luunja have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | Legion(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Läänemaa Haapsalu(home) | 7-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Tulevik(away) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Pärnu(home) | 0-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | Läänemaa Haapsalu(home) | 0-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Pärnu(away) | 4-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Narva U21(home) | 2-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Kuressaare II(home) | 4-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Legion(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
How many goals should we expect?
Tartu Kalev score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Luunja score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartu Kalev | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Luunja | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tartu Kalev sit 5th in Esiliiga B (40 points from 24 matches) and Luunja sit 3rd (44 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Luunja | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 51 | 44 |
| 5 | Tartu Kalev | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 64 | 46 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy