Tartu Welco vs Elva: result 2-1 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 26, 2019 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Annelinna Gümnaasium staadion, Tartu
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What was the result of Tartu Welco vs Elva?
Tartu Welco won 2-1 on October 26, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 19′J. LutsTartu Welco
- 27′K. KolesnitšenkoElva
- 87′A. PorilaTartu Welco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tartu Welco have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Elva have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | Vaprus(away) | 0-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 5, 2019 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 0-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 26, 2019 | Legion(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 23, 2019 | Tammeka II(away) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 19, 2019 | Rakvere Tarvas(home) | 4-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2019 | Tammeka II(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Rakvere Tarvas(home) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 23, 2019 | Flora II(away) | 1-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 19, 2019 | Vaprus(away) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tartu Welco win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Elva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2019 | Elva 3-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 20, 2019 | Elva 3-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 7, 2019 | Tartu Welco 2-2 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Tartu Welco 0-4 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 28, 2018 | Elva 0-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| May 9, 2018 | Tartu Welco 1-2 Elva | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Tartu Welco score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Elva score 2.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartu Welco | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Elva | 2.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tartu Welco sit 1st in Esiliiga A (38 points from 16 matches) and Elva sit 4th (23 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy