Match

Hercules vs Hollandia: prediction and stats

Derde DivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), Utrecht

HerculesHollandia

The Footlab AI model makes Hercules the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Hollandia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hercules wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hercules vs Hollandia?

Hercules starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,708 vs 1,594).

54%22%24%
Hercules winDrawHollandia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hercules vs Hollandia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hercules

Not enough data to predict the Hercules lineup.

Hollandia

4-3-3
  1. 18J. Koeman
  2. 14N. Koster
  3. 13F. Vrenegoor
  1. 30Bart Spil
  2. 11D. Jansen
  3. MM. Vissie
  1. 2R. Fecunda
  2. 5M. Manshanden
  3. 4D. Inyamah
  4. 23N. Maijenburg
  1. 21H. Veltman

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:14 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercules have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hollandia have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hercules
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Eemdijk(away)0-2Derde Divisie
Oct 10, 2026Sportlust '46(home)0-0Derde Divisie
Oct 3, 2026DVS 33 Ermelo(home)1-0Derde Divisie
Sep 27, 2026Hollandia(away)3-0Derde Divisie
Sep 20, 2026TEC(home)2-4Derde Divisie
Hollandia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026SVZW(away)1-0Derde Divisie
Oct 10, 2026Staphorst(home)2-4Derde Divisie
Sep 27, 2026Hercules(home)0-3Derde Divisie
Sep 19, 2026DVS 33 Ermelo(away)1-2Derde Divisie
Sep 12, 2026Sportlust '46(home)2-4Derde Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Hercules wins, 0 draws, 0 Hollandia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Hollandia 0-3 HerculesDerde Divisie
May 1, 2022Hollandia 1-3 HerculesDerde Divisie - Sunday
Nov 21, 2021Hercules 2-0 HollandiaDerde Divisie - Sunday

Last archived meeting: Hollandia vs Hercules on Sep 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hercules score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hollandia score 1.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hercules1.31.766/159/15
Hollandia1.82.4310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hercules sit 12th in Derde Divisie (10 points from 10 matches) and Hollandia sit 17th (4 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Hercules10316122210
17Hollandia911716274

A question about Hercules vs Hollandia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hercules vs Hollandia?
The Footlab AI model makes Hercules the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Hollandia.
Where and when is Hercules vs Hollandia played?
Hercules vs Hollandia is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), in the Derde Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hercules and Hollandia

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