Tenerife vs Castellón: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, Santa Cruz de Tenerife (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Tenerife. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellón wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tenerife vs Castellón?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Tenerife (2,012) and Castellón (2,107).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tenerife vs Castellón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tenerife
4-4-2- 18Enric Gallego
- 17C. Gomis
- 10Nacho Gil
- 6Juanjo
- 29Daniel Fernández
- 20M. Pittón
- 12A. Landázuri
- 2David Rodríguez
- 19César Álvarez
- 27N. Viereck
- 1Dani Martín
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 8Barri
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 6M. Orozco
- 25J. Vlak
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 13R. Matthys
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Castellón have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 3-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tenerife wins, 1 draw, 2 Castellón wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Castellón 5-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Tenerife 2-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Castellón 2-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Tenerife 1-1 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Jan 6, 2021 | Castellón 0-2 Tenerife | Copa del Rey |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Castellón 0-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Castellón vs Tenerife on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tenerife score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón score 1.8 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Castellón | 1.8 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tenerife sit 14th in Segunda División (14 points from 11 matches) and Castellón sit 1st (27 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Tenerife vs Castellón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tenerife vs Castellón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Tenerife.
- Where and when is Tenerife vs Castellón played?
- Tenerife vs Castellón is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.