Granada CF vs Burgos: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
The Footlab model makes Granada CF the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Burgos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada CF vs Burgos?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Granada CF (1,916) and Burgos (2,005).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada CF have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Burgos have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Granada CF win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Burgos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Granada CF 0-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Burgos 1-1 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Granada CF 0-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Burgos 2-2 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Burgos 1-3 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Granada CF 1-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Granada CF score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Burgos | 1.0 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada CF sit 16th in Segunda División (1 points from 1 matches) and Burgos sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Burgos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada CF vs Burgos?
- The Footlab model makes Granada CF the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Burgos.
- Where and when is Granada CF vs Burgos played?
- Granada CF vs Burgos is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.