Granada CF vs Burgos: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
The Footlab AI model makes Granada CF the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Burgos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Granada CF wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,525 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada CF vs Burgos?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Granada CF (1,946) and Burgos (2,008).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Granada CF vs Burgos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Granada CF
4-3-3- 11José Arnáiz
- 7Sergio Rodelas
- 27M. Gambin
- 6Gumbau
- 4Rubén Alcaraz
- 8Pedro Alemañ
- 5Manu Lama
- 18Sergio López
- 16Diego Pampín
- 30Juan José Flores Castro
- 1Alberto Flores
Burgos
4-4-2- 16Curro Sánchez
- 9Álex Forés
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 14David González
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 20José Gragera
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 23Alberto Dadie
- 13Ander Cantero
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada CF have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Burgos have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Granada CF wins, 3 draws, 1 Burgos win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Burgos 0-1 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| May 16, 2026 | Granada CF 0-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Burgos 1-1 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Granada CF 0-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Burgos 2-2 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Burgos 1-3 Granada CF | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Granada CF score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada CF sit 10th in Segunda División (14 points from 9 matches) and Burgos sit 8th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Granada CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Granada CF vs Burgos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada CF vs Burgos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Granada CF the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Burgos.
- Where and when is Granada CF vs Burgos played?
- Granada CF vs Burgos is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.