Valladolid vs Mallorca: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid
The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mallorca wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valladolid vs Mallorca?
Mallorca starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (2,079 vs 1,909).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valladolid vs Mallorca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 21J. Ponceau
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 24S. Jurić
- 8T. Ojeda
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 14Iván Alejo
- 15Pablo Tomeo
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Mallorca
4-4-2- 18Fuentes
- 20Pablo Torre
- 7Álex Sala
- 33Adrian Liso
- 6Antonio Sánchez
- 19Josep Cerdà
- 21Raíllo
- 15John Nwankwo
- 24M. Valjent
- 5Alberto Moreno
- 1Arnau Tenas
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valladolid have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mallorca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Valladolid win, 1 draw, 4 Mallorca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mallorca 2-0 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| May 10, 2025 | Mallorca 2-1 Valladolid | La Liga |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Valladolid 1-2 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Valladolid 3-3 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Mallorca 1-0 Valladolid | La Liga |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Mallorca 0-1 Valladolid | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Mallorca vs Valladolid on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valladolid score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Mallorca | 1.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valladolid sit 11th in Segunda División (12 points from 9 matches) and Mallorca sit 4th (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 11 | Valladolid | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Valladolid vs Mallorca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valladolid vs Mallorca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Valladolid vs Mallorca played?
- Valladolid vs Mallorca is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.