Leganes vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Sporting Gijon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leganes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,526 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Sporting Gijon?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Leganes (1,891) and Sporting Gijon (1,976).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leganes vs Sporting Gijon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leganes
3-4-2-1- 19P. Soko
- 11Naim García
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 10Z. Buurmeester
- 8Y. Kechta
- 22Álex Sancris
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 5Ignasi Miquel
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 13L. Zidane
Sporting Gijon
4-2-3-1- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 27Enol Prendes
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 24Aimar Duñabeitia
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sporting Gijon have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leganes wins, 3 draws, 1 Sporting Gijon win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Sporting Gijon 0-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Leganes 0-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| May 18, 2024 | Leganes 2-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Sporting Gijon 1-1 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Leganes 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Sporting Gijon 2-2 Leganes | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Gijon vs Leganes on Mar 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 17th in Segunda División (11 points from 10 matches) and Sporting Gijon sit 6th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 17 | Leganes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Leganes vs Sporting Gijon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Sporting Gijon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Sporting Gijon.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Sporting Gijon played?
- Leganes vs Sporting Gijon is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.