Celta de Vigo II vs Burgos: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
The Footlab model makes Celta de Vigo II the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Burgos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs Burgos?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Celta de Vigo II (2,013) and Burgos (2,006).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta de Vigo II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Burgos have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 4-1 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Celta de Vigo II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Burgos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2021 | Burgos 1-0 Celta de Vigo II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Celta de Vigo II 1-1 Burgos | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II on May 9, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Celta de Vigo II score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo II | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Burgos | 1.0 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta de Vigo II sit 3rd in Segunda División (4 points from 2 matches) and Burgos sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celta de Vigo II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Burgos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta de Vigo II vs Burgos?
- The Footlab model makes Celta de Vigo II the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Burgos.
- Where and when is Celta de Vigo II vs Burgos played?
- Celta de Vigo II vs Burgos is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.