Celta de Vigo II vs Burgos: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Celta de Vigo II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burgos wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,364 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs Burgos?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Celta de Vigo II (1,937) and Burgos (2,019).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta de Vigo II vs Burgos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-2-1- 9A. Marin
- 16Adrià Capdevila
- 11Ángel Arcos
- 15A. Kibet
- 29M. Sobral
- 10O. Marcos
- 23G. Miller
- 3K. Ribes
- 18Joel López
- 4S. M. Ndiaye
- 1Coke Carrillo
Burgos
4-4-2- 16Curro Sánchez
- 9Álex Forés
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 4P. Galdames
- 23Alberto Dadie
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 15Oier Luengo
- 22Brais Martínez
- 2Álex
- 8Grego
- 13Ander Cantero
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta de Vigo II have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Burgos have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 4-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Celta de Vigo II wins, 1 draw, 2 Burgos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Burgos 2-1 Celta de Vigo II | Segunda División |
| May 9, 2021 | Burgos 1-0 Celta de Vigo II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Celta de Vigo II 1-1 Burgos | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II on Nov 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta de Vigo II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Burgos | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta de Vigo II sit 16th in Segunda División (13 points from 13 matches) and Burgos sit 3rd (24 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Burgos | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 13 |
A question about Celta de Vigo II vs Burgos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta de Vigo II vs Burgos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Celta de Vigo II.
- Where and when is Celta de Vigo II vs Burgos played?
- Celta de Vigo II vs Burgos is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.