Tepatitlán vs Cancún: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos
Full time
What was the result of Tepatitlán vs Cancún?
Cancún won 1-2 on October 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 13′L. SámanoTepatitlán
- 31′R. ReyesCancún
- 63′J. UnjanqueCancún
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tepatitlán have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Cancún have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Venados FC(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Monarcas(home) | 3-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 3-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Tlaxcala(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Irapuato(away) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Irapuato(home) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2025 | CA La Paz(away) | 4-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Tapatío(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 21, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Venados FC(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tepatitlán win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cancún win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Tepatitlán 1-1 Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Cancún 2-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 19, 2024 | Cancún 2-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Tepatitlán 3-0 Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 21, 2023 | Tepatitlán 1-0 Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Cancún 1-2 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Tepatitlán score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cancún score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepatitlán | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Cancún | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tepatitlán sit 16th in Liga de Expansión MX (0 points from 4 matches) and Cancún sit 14th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cancún | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Cancún | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | Tepatitlán | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy