Recanatese vs Ancona: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati
The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Recanatese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ancona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recanatese vs Ancona?
Ancona starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,614).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Recanatese vs Ancona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Recanatese
Not enough data to predict the Recanatese lineup.
Ancona
Not enough data to predict the Ancona lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recanatese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ancona have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Recanatese wins, 0 draws, 4 Ancona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Recanatese 2-4 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ancona 2-0 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Recanatese 3-2 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Ancona 1-0 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Recanatese 1-3 Ancona | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Recanatese 2-0 Ancona | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Recanatese score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ancona score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recanatese | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Ancona | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recanatese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone F (6 points from 7 matches) and Ancona sit 4th (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Recanatese vs Ancona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recanatese vs Ancona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Recanatese.
- Where and when is Recanatese vs Ancona played?
- Recanatese vs Ancona is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026MaceratesevsTermoli Calcio
- Dec 13, 2026Foligno CalciovsSantegidiese
- Dec 13, 2026Real GiulianovavsSporting Trestina
- Dec 13, 2026NotarescovsAtletico Ascoli
- Dec 13, 2026L'AquilavsVigor Senigallia
- Dec 13, 2026AngelanavsFossombrone
- Dec 13, 2026Montecchio GallovsTeramo
- Dec 13, 2026PietralungavsLanciano FC