Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Helvia Recina, Macerata
The Footlab AI model makes Maceratese the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Termoli Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maceratese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Maceratese (1,636) and Termoli Calcio (1,669).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maceratese
4-3-3- 9Matteo Colombi
- 16Federico Palmieri
- 15D. Allegretti
- 8Alberto Quadri
- 7L. De Grazia
- 10Gianluca Turchetta
- 14Christian Ventola
- 5D. Marchetti
- 6Filippo Gattari
- 4A. Bondioli
- 22F. Forte
Termoli Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Termoli Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maceratese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Termoli Calcio have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fossombrone(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Maceratese wins, 1 draw, 1 Termoli Calcio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Maceratese 0-1 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Termoli Calcio 2-2 Maceratese | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Termoli Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maceratese | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Termoli Calcio | 0.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maceratese sit 14th in Serie D - Girone F (7 points from 7 matches) and Termoli Calcio sit 8th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Termoli Calcio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 14 | Maceratese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maceratese the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Termoli Calcio.
- Where and when is Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio played?
- Maceratese vs Termoli Calcio is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Helvia Recina, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.